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November 1988
Lost in Transition
To a President-elect, staffing a new government looks easy next to the
challenge of getting elected, but a number of circumstances--some
structural, some historical, and some quasi-magical in character--combine
to make it an undertaking fraught with risk
by Carl Brauer
If history is any guide, the President-elect will soon be making some key
personnel decisions that will haunt him throughout his term. Serious error
is all but inevitable, given the range and sheer number of the
appointments (several hundred of the more than 3,000 to be made overall)
he must make, and given the relatively short time--the two and a half
months between his election and his inauguration--the President-elect will
have to make them. Of the decisions made in those seventy-three days, one
former Jimmy Carter aide remembers, "We won the election but lost the
transition. We never recovered from the mistakes we committed then." The
transition, as the interregnum between Administrations is popularly known,
can be a fateful time not only for the new President but for the country.
For example, would the Kennedy and Johnson Administrations have become
entangled in the coils of Vietnam if John F. Kennedy had disregarded his
brother Robert's advice and appointed Senator William Fulbright Secretary
of State instead of Dean Rusk? Kennedy respected Fulbright; he knew him;
he could communicate with him. Yet he chose as his chief foreign-policy
adviser a man he did not know and with whom, it turned out, he could not
communicate. Fulbright was an early and eloquent critic of the widening
Vietnam involvement. Rusk was an architect and defender of that
involvement. Would Fulbright have taken the same line as Secretary of
State in 1962 and 1963 that he did as a senator in 1965 and 1966? Would
his voice have been persuasive enough to counter the voices of the hawks
in the Kennedy and Johnson Cabinets? Would he, in short, have made a
difference that could have made THE difference? These questions serve to
remind us of what's at stake in presidential appointments and why it might
be useful to review the nature and recent history of the appointment
process.
Making appointments, of course, is not all a President-elect must do. He
must also make basic organizational decisions about his own executive
office and its relations with the departments and agencies. He and his
subordinates must establish liaison with the outgoing Administration and
with the permanent government. Although formal authority rests exclusively
with the incumbent President, power rapidly begins to shift to the
President-elect, and the permanent bureaucracy and foreign governments
look to him for signals indicating his future direction. Public denials
notwithstanding, past Presidents have begun to use domestic bureaucracies
and conduct diplomacy well before they assumed office. For example, in the
interregnum of 1932-1933, between the Hoover and Roosevelt
Administrations, the Hoover Treasury Department helped to draw up what has
since become famous as the Roosevelt "Bank Holiday" plan. A
President-elect must also interpret his election mandate and decide which
campaign promises to keep, which to suspend, and which to forget. He must,
in short, develop an administrative and legislative program.
None of these tasks can be carried out, though, until a President-elect
begins to make personnel decisions. From a pre-election perspective,
winning is an all-consuming task, and making appointments looks easy. It
is, however, "a minefield," to quote Pendleton James, President Reagan's
first director of personnel--one that he "tiptoed through daily, and
sometimes I stepped on one of the mines." "A Goddamn nightmare" is how
certain of Carter's aides refer to personnel operations in that
Administration. Harris Wofford, who was a member of Kennedy's recruitment
team, says that the transition was a terrible experience. When he looked
at the offices filled with people looking for jobs, he says, he was
reminded of the story in which Abraham Lincoln literally had to climb over
office-seekers. "Every time I make an appointment," President William
Howard Taft lamented, "I create nine enemies and one ingrate." Today the
ratio has only increased.
POLITICS, LONG HOURS, LOW PAY
In all walks of life people tend to hire people they know and Presidents
are not immune from that tendency. All Presidents have, though, found it
necessary to reach out beyond their circle of friends and acquaintances
and appoint strangers to their Cabinets, independent agencies, and
regulatory commissions, and even to the White House staff itself. As
Kennedy explained to his aides soon after his election, "For the last four
years I spent so much time getting to know people who could help me get
elected President that I didn't have any time to get to know people who
could help me, after I was elected, to be a good President."
Among the avowed and obvious criteria that newly elected Presidents
typically use in choosing personnel are substantive knowledge, managerial
experience, personal loyalty, philosophical compatibility, team spirit,
ability to withstand bureaucratic or special-interest pressure,
creativity, and skills in press, public, and congressional relations. In
addition, new Presidents, to one degree or another, want their appointees
to reflect various parts of their constituency or of constituencies they
hope to acquire--ethnic, religious, racial, regional, and so on. Because
of his narrow mandate, Richard Nixon explained in his memoir, he knew that
some of his choices for Cabinet posts "would have to serve, even if only
symbolically, to unite the country, and 'bring us together.'" He was not
very successful in this regard, however: several prominent Democrats and
blacks including Hubert Humphrey, Henry Jackson, Sargent Shriver, and
Whitney Young, either turned him down or imposed unacceptable conditions.
Some appointments, even to the Cabinet, have been rewards for
long-standing political loyalty. In the past, ambassadorships were
sometimes payoffs for financial contributions to a President's campaign.
In Governor Michael S. Dukakis's highly effective campaign apparatus,
fundraising coordinators from Massachusetts have been given the honorary
title of "ambassador." Whether any of them become real ambassadors remains
to be seen. Wholesale office-buying under Nixon caused Congress to limit
the contributions that individuals could make to candidates. But the
influence of money has proved as hard to expunge from politics as the lust
for power and preferment.
Other appointments are extorted by members of Congress, particularly
senators, whose power derives from the Senate's constitutional role in
confirmation and from its tradition of allowing members to place "holds"
on candidates--a device used extensively by Senator Jesse Helms in recent
years, but not one invented by him or used by him exclusively. New
Administrations must decide when to resist such pressure and when to yield
to it.
Yielding can sometimes be a serious mistake. Consider the 1952 case of
Scott McLeod, a belligerent superpatriot sponsored by Joseph McCarthy and
other right-wing senators, who was hired to head the newly established
Bureau of Security and Consular Affairs in the State Department. With his
staff of 350 investigators McLeod made a shambles of individual rights and
wreaked havoc on professional morale in the State Department. He also
leaked to his Senate allies unsubstantiated derogatory information about
Charles Bohlen, Eisenhower's nominee to be ambassador to the Soviet Union.
After a nasty battle Bohlen was confirmed by the Senate, but had McLeod
been loyal to the Administration, instead of to his Senate patrons, the
struggle might have been avoided altogether.
Even though hordes of people will clamor for appointments in the next
Administration, many highly qualified people who have already served in
responsible jobs in government will not be among them. A survey by the
National Academy of Public Administration in 1984 and 1985 of presidential
appointees confirmed by the Senate showed that even though most of them
looked back upon their service as a high point of their professional
lives, many were not interested in making the requisite sacrifice again.
Although the compensation levels for top federal officials are far above
what the average American makes or what Ralph Nader thinks they should
be--Cabinet Secretaries now make $99,500, deputy secretaries $89,500,
assistant secretaries and regulatory commissioners $77,500, and directors
of major bureaus $72,500--they are not high by professional standards. New
associates fresh out of law school are being paid more than $70,000 at top
New York law firms and more than $60,000 at Washington firms; partners in
such firms, I need hardly add, make several times as much. The 1984-1985
Commission on Executive, Legislative, and Judicial Salaries reported a 40
percent decline in the purchasing power of top federal salaries from 1969
to 1985, a decline that was only slightly checked by the raises approved
by President Reagan in January, 1987, and whose results are listed above.
In that same sixteen-year period corporate executives' real income rose 68
percent. But top federal salaries are low even when compared with salaries
in the nonprofit sector. Police chiefs, foundation executives, hospital
administrators, city managers, university presidents, school
superintendents, and professors all can earn substantially more than many
high federal officeholders.
Not only do top federal management positions pay badly but they also
impose costs on those holding them--among them, the expense of living in,
and moving to, Washington, the necessity of divesting oneself of assets
posing conflict-of-interest problems, and the time-consuming, unpleasant
necessity of completing financial-disclosure forms.
The rigors of the jobs themselves also deter some potential appointees.
Three quarters of Carter and Reagan appointees reported working sixty or
more hours a week, and nearly as many said that their jobs caused a
significant or high level of stress in their personal lives. "I tell
people that when I left the government I worked half as hard and got paid
twice as much," says the Secretary of Agriculture, Richard Lyng, who has
done several stints in government.
Follow-up interviews in that National Academy survey revealed that
although yesterday's assistant secretaries aspire to be tomorrow's deputy
secretaries and yesterday's deputy secretaries want to be tomorrow's
Secretaries, 92.7 percent of appointees had held only one Senate-confirmed
appointment; only 6.5 percent had held two, 0.6 percent three, and 0.2
percent four. Senate-confirmed presidential appointees often come to their
jobs after several years in nonconfirmed appointments, in either the same
or a prior Administration. But having received one Senate-confirmed
appointment, they rarely get another. Thus, the general rule among
presidential appointees is "in and out and never in again."
This is a serious problem, because it will tend to deprive the
President-elect of the services of experienced people, whose judgment can
be invaluable. It also has a negative impact on senior career officials,
who are demoralized by the poor quality, inexperience, and turnover of
political appointees. In a 1987 General Accounting Office survey senior
career executives who were leaving government most frequently cited
dissatisfaction with top management or with political appointees as a
reason for their departure.
Indeed, one of the great challenges that face the next President will be
to attract exceptionally able, experienced people to appointive positions
and then retain them long enough for them to be effective. Effectiveness
usually takes longer than two years, which is the average length of
service for a substantial recent group of presidential appointees (one
third of them serve 1.5 years or less). Retention will require more than
extracting a commitment from appointees at the outset, which Carter tried,
unsuccessfully. It will take better pay, plus a greater sense of
accomplishment and recognition for appointees.
THE SCRAMBLE FOR ACCESS
It happens every four years: Presidents turn their campaign staffs into
their transition staffs and then into their White House staffs. Sherman
Adams, Theodore Sorensen, H. R. Haldeman, Hamilton Jordan, and Edwin Meese
were all campaign aides who became transition aides and then White House
aides. Other key members of the campaign go into departments and agencies,
often maintaining a close relationship with the President. Newly elected
Presidents also tend to bring a few relative newcomers and strangers onto
their staffs. Kennedy hired McGeorge Bundy as his national-security
assistant; Nixon hired Henry Kissinger in the same capacity and hired
Daniel Patrick Moynihan as an urban-affairs adviser. In what was certainly
his shrewdest staffing decision Ronald Reagan named James A. Baker III, a
relative newcomer--rather than his long-time aide Meese--as chief of
staff. Reportedly, Reagan was persuaded to hire Baker because he had
considerable Washington savvy, something that Reagan and his California
aides lacked. In contrast, Carter's staff was top-heavy with fellow
Georgians, who quickly won a reputation for provincialism which they were
never able to shake.
Although there are many top-level appointments to be had, there are few
offices in the West Wing of the White House, and the competition for them
among a President-elect's campaign staff can be shameless. "Never
underestimate the value of proximity," Moynihan once remarked. Few
presidential staffers have done so. "People will kill to get an office in
the West Wing," Michael Deaver told the journalist Hedrick Smith. "You'll
see people working in closets, tucked back in a corner, rather than taking
a huge office with a fireplace in the EOB [Executive Office Building]."
Often the competition for access has been resolved during the campaign,
but sometimes it is settled only in the days after the election.
H. R. Haldeman, in the Nixon Administration, demonstrated his mastery of
the concept of access during the interregnum, by outmaneuvering Rose Mary
Woods. Woods had served as Nixon's personal secretary since 1951. She
continued to hold this title in the Nixon White House, but for the first
time since Theodore Roosevelt built the West Wing, the President's
personal secretary was not stationed right outside his office door.
Haldeman had heard that Ann Whitman, Eisenhower's secretary, had provided
an alternate route into the Oval Office, causing Sherman Adams
difficulties. He resolved that there would be no such back channel on his
watch.
"Nixon had to break this Haldeman-first news to Rose personally, a task he
hated," William Safire, who was one of Nixon's speechwriters, later wrote
in a memoir,
"and she reacted with the grief-stricken fury one might have expected
of a woman scorned. Rose and Nixon rode down in the Pierre Hotel elevator
afterward and the President-elect spoke to her twice; she would not speak
to him; Bryce Harlow, the only other person in that confined space, refers
to it as 'the longest ride ever taken by a man who had recently been
elected President of the United States.'...There was a purpose in
Haldeman's choice of Rose Woods as the first person with whom to do
battle. If he could interpose himself between the President and Rose, he
could do damn near anything."
Staff jobs in the White House may be among the most sought-after and among
the most important in any Administration, but Presidents-elect often pay
much more attention to choosing Cabinet members than they do to selecting
their own staffs. Their lack of attention to staff selection results in
part from inertia; having campaigned for months and even years with
certain staff members at their sides, they simply carry forward with the
same people on the day after election. The one time a President-elect
broke from this pattern came in 1976, when, shortly after the election,
Carter announced that Jack Watson, who had been running a
transition-planning operation during the campaign, would be in charge of
the transition. That, however, did not set well with Hamilton Jordan,
Carter's campaign manager, who soon overwhelmed Watson and scuttled his
plans. Thus, following a short-lived deviation, Carter conformed to the
rule.
PICKING THE SUB-CABINET
Much attention is paid to a president's cabinet selections, but his
appointments to the sub-Cabinet and to agencies, bureaus, commissions,
boards, and ambassadorships tend to draw less notice. However, these, too,
are often vitally important positions, as such names from the Reagan
Administration as Elliott Abrams, Everett Koop, John Lehman, Paul Nitze,
Ann Burford, and Mark Fowler suggest. All appointments fall under a
President's authority, but how vigorously a President-elect exercises that
authority has varied over time, as has the degree of his control over the
appointment process itself.
Before naming Rusk Secretary of State, Kennedy had already named Adlai
Stevenson ambassador to the United Nations and Governor G. Mennen
Williams, of Michigan, assistant secretary for Africa. Subsequent to
Rusk's appointment, Kennedy chose the undersecretaries of state, Chester
Bowles and George Ball. Kennedy and Bowles selected all but a few of
Rusk's subordinates, including ambassadors. In contrast, Robert McNamara
agreed to become Secretary of Defense partly on the condition that he
would be able to name his own subordinates, subject to Kennedy's approval.
Kennedy named most of Rusk's subordinates and ended up less than satisfied
with Rusk's leadership, whereas McNamara selected most of his subordinates
and Kennedy admired his leadership. The moral of this story, therefore,
contradicts what had become conventional wisdom by 1980 and probably
remains so today: that it is essential for a President to exercise his
appointive authority fully over subordinate positions in the departments
and agencies.
In part because of a poorly conceived and managed pre-election planning
process, and in part because of his temporary infatuation with Cabinet
government, in 1968 Nixon relinquished to his Cabinet the authority to
appoint. "I just made a big mistake," Nixon immediately remarked to an
aide. In his memoir Nixon recounted how he then unsuccessfully tried to
persuade Cabinet members to purge their departments of holdover Democrats.
In fact Nixon had more trouble from independent-minded Republicans who
served under him than from Democrats, simply because there were more of
them. At the start of his second term Nixon demanded the resignations of
all his appointees and moved to exercise an unprecedented degree of
control over appointments. (Of course, the fanatical loyalty demanded by
Nixon and his aides contributed directly to their downfall.)
Carter also came to Washington enamored of Cabinet government, and was
highly critical of what had become Nixon's imperial presidency, so he gave
his Cabinet Secretaries the freedom to name their own subordinates, which
all of them were happy to exercise. Soon they began to learn through leaks
in newspapers, or in more direct ways, that Carter or his political aides
were displeased with their choices. Both the liberal Joseph Califano and
the more conservative Griffin Bell later wrote critically about White
House displeasure with appointments they had been told were theirs alone
to make. When Brock Adams hired his congressional staff members to help
him run the Department of Transportation, it created tensions that helped
account for Adams's eventual firing. Like Nixon, Carter sought to
recapture his lost appointive authority later in his Administration.
Because of lessons learned from the Nixon and Carter experiences, and also
because of his strong ideology and commitment to change, Ronald Reagan
instituted the most centralized and tightly controlled appointment process
of any President new to the job. After Reagan asked someone to serve in
his Cabinet, one of his aides would explain to the appointee that the
sub-Cabinet appointments would be made by the President. Accordingly, a
hundred people were working in the White House personnel office in early
1981. Depending on their own clout, determination, and skill, individual
Cabinet members could, however, also exercise considerable influence over
the process.
Under Reagan, centralized White House control of all presidential
appointments--the sub-Cabinet, boards, commissions, ambassadorships,
special assistantships, even judgeships that had historically been handled
by the Justice Department--did undoubtedly bring more ardent conservatives
into government than would otherwise have come. That did not necessarily
lead to cohesiveness or to effective government, however. The poor quality
of some Reagan political appointees did not escape the notice of other
Reagan appointees or of highly respected Republicans who did not serve
Reagan. "This Administration is full of turkeys who have undercut the
quality of public service in their areas," Elliot Richardson bluntly told
an interviewer in 1985.
PLACEMENT VERSUS RECRUITMENT
At the start of every administration there is tension between finding jobs
for people and finding people for jobs--between placement and recruitment.
Every new President has around him some aides whose mission it is to
reward the faithful and others whose mission it is to seek out good
people. Kennedy gave Sargent Shriver, his brother-in-law, the assignment
of conducting a talent search, and Lawrence O'Brien, a campaign aide, the
assignment of placing deserving Democrats in good jobs. But the momentum
generated by political campaigns, with their emphasis on political
loyalty, partisanship, and occasionally ideology, tends to skew things in
favor of placement. Every President-elect has some Lyn Nofzigers around
him. Nofziger, an aide to Reagan, told a reporter early in the
Administration, "We have told members of the Cabinet we expected them to
help us place people who are competent....As far as I'm concerned, anyone
who supported Reagan is competent." That criterion produced some notably
loyal appointees who also happened to be either incompetent or ethically
insensitive.
Because of the built-in bias in favor of placement, Presidents-elect are
wise to lean in the direction of recruitment. Kennedy actually did so,
which allowed Shriver's talent scouts to fare well in their competition
with O'Brien's placement service. "We'll have no trouble competing with
Sarge's gang," John Bailey, the soon-to-be chairman of the Democratic
National Committee, declared one day, "if we can just get people who are
as good as his people." When Kennedy prepared to name C. Douglas Dillon as
his Treasury Secretary, Kennedy's liberal friends were appalled. Dillon
was the incumbent undersecretary of state; worse, he had contributed to
Nixon's campaign. Arthur Schlesinger, Jr., protested to Kennedy that there
"was no precedent for giving a vital Cabinet post to a sub-Cabinet
official of a defeated Administration, especially to an official who had
contributed to Nixon's campaign and might well have been Nixon's nominee
for the same job." "Oh, I don't care about those things, " Kennedy
replied. "All I want to know is, is he able? And will he go along with the
program?"
The methods used by Presidents-elect to fill top appointments have varied,
as has their degree of involvement in the process. Eisenhower chose his
own White House staff but delegated much of the work of Cabinet selection
to a two-man committee consisting of Herbert Brownell, Jr., who accepted
the Attorney Generalship after declining to serve as Eisenhower's chief of
staff, and Lucius D. Clay, a retired general, lifetime friend, and
colleague, who had become chairman of the Continental Can Company. Clay
made Eisenhower promise him that he would not offer him a position in the
Administration.
Kennedy was personally involved in choosing his department heads and
perhaps several dozen sub-Cabinet, agency, and executive-branch officials.
He rejected some leading prospects after interviewing them; one candidate
bored him so much that he fell asleep. In filling the top jobs his most
influential advisers were his brother Robert, his father, Joseph, his
brother-in-law Sargent Shriver, his personal staff, and certain older
former high officials who were not interested in positions for themselves.
In this last group were Clark Clifford, Dean Acheson, John McCloy, and,
most influential, Robert Lovett. (A Republican who had served in high
positions under Truman, Lovett declined, for reasons of health, Kennedy's
offer of any Cabinet seat Lovett might choose.)
In every Administration some top appointments come about easily and seem
inevitable, right, and logical. John Foster Dulles's appointment as
Eisenhower's Secretary of State was one of these, especially after Thomas
Dewey removed himself from consideration. Other appointments come about
more by circumstance, sometimes simply because the appointers are running
out of time and energy and someone has to be named. A case in point is the
selection by Kennedy of Dean Rusk to be Secretary of State. Indeed, the
recent history of this most prestigious and visible presidential
appointment is a bitter comedy on the theme of human misjudgment.
THE SECRETARY OF STATE HEX
Kennedy, who fashioned himself after Franklin D. Roosevelt, wanted to make
the major foreign-policy decisions in his Administration; he did not want
them made by the Secretary of State or by the careerists at the State
Department. Nonetheless, according to Lovett, he was aware that a
President could create grave difficulties for his Secretary of State, and
that it was not wise to operate the State Department out of his hat. In
fact, Kennedy knew what he did not want more clearly than what he did
want. He did not want a Cordell Hull, who had been largely ignored by
Roosevelt; an Acheson, who had not been liked in Congress; or a Dulles,
who he wrongly thought had cowed Eisenhower.
Nor did he want Adlai Stevenson, his party's standard-bearer in 1952 and
1956. Although Stevenson retained a large following among Democrats and
was the sentimental party choice for Secretary, he was not well liked by
Kennedy or by those Kennedy consulted most closely about this position,
including Lovett, Acheson, and Robert Kennedy. (Robert, who had traveled
with Stevenson during the 1956 campaign, had started out as a fan, but
became so disillusioned by Stevenson's indecisiveness that he wound up
voting for Eisenhower.) Because of Stevenson's popularity among Democrats,
Kennedy had to offer him something, however. Given a choice of three
positions, including Attorney General, Stevenson chose the UN
ambassadorship.
One by one, other candidates for Secretary of State were eliminated.
McGeorge Bundy, the forty-one-year-old Harvard dean, was thought to lack
the necessary experience. Chester Bowles had ample experience and, in
contrast to Stevenson, had supported Kennedy early, but Kennedy regarded
him as too soft to negotiate with the Soviets. David Bruce, an experienced
diplomat who had been undersecretary to Acheson, though tough enough, did
not seem idealistic enough.
Senator J. William Fulbright, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee, was Kennedy's first choice, because Kennedy knew him well,
alone among the candidates, and was impressed by Fulbright's intelligence,
common sense, and wisdom. Also, Fulbright would have been a popular choice
on Capitol Hill. Robert Kennedy, however, persuaded his brother that
Fulbright, a signer of the Southern Manifesto against the Brown decision,
would give Soviet propaganda a powerful boost in Africa and might force
the Administration to take positions that it would otherwise not have
taken.
Other potential nominees who in retrospect might have been good choices
for Kennedy, such as Averell Harriman and George Kennan, were for one
reason or another not given serious consideration. So it came down to Dean
Rusk, who had influential support from Acheson, Lovett, and Robert
Kennedy. (He also had influential detractors, especially Walter Lippmann,
who told Kennedy that Rusk was a "profound conformist" who would "never
deviate from what he considered the official view.")
Rusk was a Georgian by birth but an integrationist. A Rhodes scholar, he
was a former college professor, Army officer, and State Department
official who had served under George Marshall and Dean Acheson. He had
been deeply involved in the Korean War, and he was to bring to the Vietnam
War an understanding forged in that tragically inapplicable experience. In
the 1950s he had been president of the Rockefeller Foundation, which had
done extensive work in the developing world, where Kennedy hoped to see
American influence expand. He had been a Stevenson supporter, which helped
politically, and he had published an article in Foreign Affairs in 1960
titled "The President" that helped him with Kennedy even more. In the
article he argued that the President must take the lead on foreign policy.
After Lovett made certain that Rusk would accept the job if it were
offered, Kennedy met with Rusk. Afterward Rusk told Bowles, prophetically,
"Kennedy and I could not communicate." Rusk concluded, "If the idea of
making me Secretary ever actually entered his mind, I am sure it is now
dead." The next day Kennedy asked him to take the job.
As things turned out, Rusk was a hardworking, articulate, and loyal
Secretary who was well regarded in his department, on Capitol Hill, and
among foreign diplomats, but who never fit well into the Kennedy scheme of
things. Though he sought to be the President's chief foreign-policy
adviser, Rusk never really had Kennedy's ear. There was a lack of rapport
between them. Rusk, tellingly, was the only member of the Cabinet whom
Kennedy did not call by his first name, and Rusk liked it that way. Rusk
stayed out of policy debates within the Administration, so that if the
President took someone else's advice, it would not look like a defeat for
him. Kennedy later mocked this reticence, by saying that when they were
alone, Rusk would whisper that there were still too many people in the
room.
As unsatisfactory, in certain ways, as White House-State Department
relations were in the Kennedy Administration, they proved to be even
worse, sometimes much worse, under the three newly elected Presidents who
followed and their Secretaries of State.
William Rogers was evidently not Nixon's first choice for Secretary of
State; Nixon later told Kissinger that Robert Murphy, the veteran
diplomat, had been but had turned him down. Reportedly, Thomas Dewey and
William Scranton, the governor of Pennsylvania, were also sounded out, and
were not interested. Rogers was an old personal friend and close political
associate to whom Nixon had turned repeatedly for counsel, ever since the
Alger Hiss days. He had served as Attorney General during Eisenhower's
second term Nixon had practiced law in New York after he lost the 1960
election, and Rogers, also a prominent New York attorney, had won some
major clients coveted by Nixon; this made for a cloud over their
relationship. Nonetheless, Nixon told Kissinger that he had come to
consider Rogers the ideal man for the job. In his memoirs Kissinger
recalled Nixon's perverse reasoning.
"Nixon considered Rogers's unfamiliarity with the subject an asset
because it guaranteed that policy direction would remain in the White
House. At the same time, Nixon said, Rogers was one of the toughest, most
cold-eyed, self-centered, and ambitious men he had ever met. As a
negotiator he would give the Soviets fits. And 'the little boys in the
State Department' had better be careful because Rogers would brook no
nonsense. Few Secretaries of State can have been selected because of their
President's confidence in their ignorance of foreign policy."
"The irony of Nixon's decision to choose as Secretary of State someone
with little substantive preparation," Kissinger went on, "was that he
thereby enhanced the influence of the two institutions he most
distrusted--the Foreign Service and the press." Rogers could "not
psychologically bring himself to subordinate himself to Nixon, and that
played right into Henry's hands," according to Elliot Richardson, who
served as undersecretary to Rogers at the start of the Administration.
"Rogers felt that in terms of character and judgment he was a better man
and he could not subordinate himself, which an effective Secretary of
State must do. It's true that Rogers didn't have any inclination to engage
in the strategic-planning process--but he didn't try." According to
Kissinger, Rogers could not face the proposition that Nixon might have
appointed him in part because he expected to be able to dominate him.
Rogers quickly became a spokesman rather than a policy adviser and
formulator; Nixon did not make much use of him even as a negotiator.
Carter came to office with considerably less experience in foreign affairs
than most new Presidents have, but he was interested and willing to learn.
In the early 1970s he had been an enthusiastic member of the Trilateral
Commission, which had been founded by David Rockefeller to promote
cooperation among North America, Western Europe, and Japan. There Carter
met Cyrus Vance and Zbigniew Brzezinski, who became his Secretary of State
and national-security adviser, respectively. First on the campaign trail
and then in the White House, Brzezinski served as Carter's tutor. "I was
an eager student, and took full advantage of what Brzezinski had to
offer," Carter guilelessly wrote in his memoir. "As a college professor
and author, he was able to express complicated ideas simply. We got to
know each other well."
Although Carter, Vance, and Brzezinski began with hopes of successful
collaboration, these were soon dashed. Carter encouraged Brzezinski to
come up with new ideas, which Brzezinski was ever wont to do. Although his
job as national-security adviser was supposed to be that of an impartial
broker of opinion, he viewed himself as a protagonist in debates and as a
competitor for power, not as a molder of consensus. "Coordination is
predominance," Brzezinski asserted characteristically in his memoir of the
Carter years.
"And the key to asserting effective coordination was the right of direct
access to the President, in writing, by telephone, or simply by walking
into his office....I was determined to maintain an active and personal
dialogue with the President on foreign policy issues because only then
could I assert my own authority in a manner consistent with his views."
Vance believed in the State Department as an institution. He felt that
Presidents and Secretaries of State had in recent years ignored the
department, and that this had weakened not only the morale of the Foreign
Service but also continuity in policy from one Administration to the next.
A year into the Carter Administration, Vance and Brzezinski were sharply
at odds for personal, bureaucratic, and ideological reasons.
The conflict led to muddle. Hodding Carter III, the State Department's
press spokesman under Vance, later commented that it had been widely
quipped that the President "took speech drafts offered by the State
Department and the National Security Council and simply pasted half of one
to half of the other. The result was predictably all over the lot,
offering the Soviet Union the mailed fist and the dove's coo
simultaneously." In the early years of the Administration, Carter leaned
more toward Vance's approach. Later he leaned toward Brzezinski's. In 1980
Vance resigned.
Ronald Reagan's troubles with his first Secretary of State had little to
do with conflicts of ideology and everything to do with conflicts of
personality. Reportedly, many of Reagan's old California friends in his
"kitchen cabinet" advised him to choose Alexander Haig as his Secretary of
State, instead of Caspar Weinberger, William Casey, or George Shultz,
because they were impressed with Haig's foreign-policy experience,
hard-line reputation, and military background and bearing. A former aide
to Henry Kissinger and the chief of staff and de facto President at the
end of the Nixon Administration, Haig was an inveterate bureaucratic
infighter with a Napoleonic ego and a quick temper.
Haig's exasperation began before the Inauguration, when his grand scheme
for becoming "vicar" of foreign policy was interred in Ed Meese's
voluminous briefcase. The Secretary of State's problems were compounded by
the ill-fated televised pronouncement that he made from the White
House--"I am in control here"--after Reagan was shot. Martin Anderson, one
of Reagan's top aides, later wrote, "There was something about Haig. He
seemed to ruffle the feelings of almost everyone, and almost everybody
seemed to ruffle his feelings." Following a year and a half of seriocomic
episodes involving Haig and members of the White House staff, many of
which received prominent play in the newspapers and on television, Reagan
fired him.
The new President-Elect will, like his predecessors, have to move fast to
fill hundreds of important positions that will fundamentally affect his
ability to lead and the government's ability to perform. He will make
these personnel decisions under enormous pressure of time and without
benefit of simple rules. A study of the past, however, suggests one broad
lesson that the President should take to heart: When you are basking in
the brilliance and sterling qualities of the people you have chosen,
remember that your predecessors felt that way too.
Copyright © 1988, Carl Brauer. All rights
reserved.
"Lost in Transition";
The Atlantic Monthly, November, 1988, issue.
Volume 262, Number 5 (pages 74-80).
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